The student housing lending outlook will be positive for a long time

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The outlook for student housing lending should be positive over the next several years. Occupancies for the current school year and pre-leasing for the 2026-2027 school year remain high year-over-year. Also, new supply is constrained, which should show capital providers that student housing is in a safer position than years past. Count on this trend of increased interest in student housing to continue, especially as Fannie Mae becomes more active, and the life companies show renewed interest in the assets that qualify. The abundance of liquidity in the market will drive down credit spreads and push interest only to more aggressive levels. Non-bank lenders have creative structures that are pushing up the leverage curve. Lenders will look at the proximity to campus, size of the school, enrollment trends, as well as supply and demand dynamics. Loans above $15M will deepen the investor pool.

In addition to competitive spreads, look for more structured flexibility in loan terms such as lenders offering more interest-only and prepayment flexibility. Borrowers will see leverage up to 75% for stabilized assets, although life companies and banks will max at 65%. Construction deals typically see 65% to 70% LTC. Stabilized assets at fuller leverage should see a spread of around 175 to 245 basis points over the benchmark. Spreads for top-tier deals could be as low as 150 basis points. Debt yield for stabilized assets generally falls in the 8% to 10%+ range, while transitional or bridge deals often need 10% to 12%+ to meet lender thresholds. DSC minimums will start anywhere from 1.20x to 1.35x.

The agencies will be extremely active, and Fannie Mae is now directly competing with Freddie Mac. Leverage can reach 75% and deals at max leverage should see 170 to 190 basis point pricing for a 10-year transaction. Agencies typically require a 1.25x to 1.30x DSC minimum.

For larger deals, the national banks such as Wells Fargo, JP Morgan Chase and Bank of America will offer floating-rate debt at better pricing than the debt funds and better recourse structures than the local banks. Bank OZK, Regions, Ocean Bank and Santander Bank will also be active. Banks typically require meaningful net worth and liquidity relative to the loan size.

Life companies such as MetLife, Pacific Life, PPM America, Guardian Life, Aegon, TruStage and Symetra will target lower leverage deals. Borrowers will see a 65% max leverage. Spreads for life insurance lenders will be as low as 120 to 150 basis points for lower and moderately leveraged loans.

Debt fund and private money lenders such as PIMCO, Apollo, Heitman, MF1 Capital, Prime Finance, Madison Realty Capital, ORIX, Sound Point Capital Management, Osprey Capital, Pearlmark and Canyon Partners Real Estate will pick up market share. Bridge lenders such as Greystone, A10 Capital, RRA Capital, AVANA Capital and Obra Real Estate will also be active, while ABR Capital Partners, Parse Capital and CrossHarbor Capital Partners will provide equity.

Underwriting is constricting across the board. Assumptions are tightening, including more modest rent growth, higher expense expectations and expanded exit cap rates to reflect ongoing uncertainty in the capital markets. Lenders are reducing income assumptions by underwriting rent growth below trailing actuals and relying more on historical preleasing. Operating expenses — especially insurance, payroll and turn costs— will be modeled more conservatively. Deals must now clear stricter stress tests, including occupancy and rent shocks.

Location preferences have narrowed, with lenders gravitating toward assets in close proximity to major universities with proven demand characteristics. Simultaneously, there is a much deeper level of analysis at the university level, including enrollment trends, funding sources, acceptance rates and historical leasing patterns. There is also a heightened focus on the operating platform behind the asset, as well as a more thorough evaluation of new supply and competitive positioning within each market.

Look for lenders to target pedestrian‑to‑campus Class A to Class B+ assets with modern layouts, strong amenities, 200+ beds and institutional management. Lenders will focus on purpose-built student housing, serving large universities with stable or expanding enrollment bases in markets where fundamentals support consistent leasing performance and manageable supply pipelines. Properties within walking distance of Power 4 and 5 schools and major state universities with minimum enrollments of 20,000 will see the most available capital. Lenders favor stabilized assets showing consistent occupancy numbers and strong preleasing — ideally 75%+ by spring. Newer vintage properties or those that have been recently upgraded with modern amenities and competitive unit layouts will also be favored.     

Secondary markets will face tighter credit and higher scrutiny. Schools in tertiary markets with less than 10,000 students will be tough to finance because of demand fundamentals. Lenders will be cautious about oversupplied markets that saw significant development in 2018 to 2022. Smaller regional and private schools with flat or declining enrollment are increasingly tough to finance.

Lenders are also placing greater weight on experienced, professional student housing operators because owners who can operate a market rate deal do not necessarily translate to successful management of a student deal. Sponsors who demonstrate a deep understanding of the specific university market, including enrollment trends, application pipelines, on‑campus housing constraints and the competitive supply pipeline will be sought after. Many lenders will seek liquidity of 10% of the loan amount and a net worth equal to the loan amount. Agencies and institutional lenders strongly prefer sponsors with multiple student housing assets and professional third-party management, though exceptions exist for long-term single-asset owners with strong operational track records. As leverage increases, expectations around support — whether through covenants or limited recourse — also tend to increase.

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